For President Obama, the North Carolina poll results are a good news, bad news story.
The bad news is that his approval rating is 37% among registered voters in North Carolina, according to the latest Elon University Poll.
The good news is that it has only dropped 1 percentage point since September. (It’s dropped 10 percentage points since February, but who’s counting? Oh, yeah. We are.)
Digging into the numbers:
Politics — The split is stark: 71% of Democrats approve of how he’s handling his job vs. 31% of Independents and only 4% of Republicans. The percentages are consistent with polls in September and February, although he has lost some Democratic support.
Gender — His approval rating among men is 35%; among women, 39%. These figures, too, are consistent with September.
Race — He has lost support among African Americans since September. His approval rating among blacks is 75%; whites, 24%. Last September, 83% of African Americans approved of his work.
Age — His approval rating is highest among 31-40 year-olds at 41%; lowest among 51-65 year-olds at 33%.
Explanation: Nationally, President Obama’s poll numbers are sinking, primarily credited to — or blamed on — the stumbling Affordable Health Care rollout. His approval numbers among North Carolina registered voters are in line with the national numbers.
While the president doesn’t have to worry about re-election, he does want to keep his party strong in this state in particular. The loss of Democratic support and African American support put to lie the idea that those groups will follow him anywhere. They are beset by the same economic and health care problems as everyone else. That should alarm him. And Democratic candidates across the state.
– John Robinson