Tag Archives: President Obama

President Obama’s job approval ratings in North Carolina drops slightly

For President Obama, the North Carolina poll results are a good news, bad news story.

The bad news is that his approval rating is 37% among registered voters in North Carolina, according to the latest Elon University Poll.

The good news is that it has only dropped 1 percentage point since September. (It’s dropped 10 percentage points since February, but who’s counting? Oh, yeah. We are.)

Digging into the numbers:

Politics — The split is stark: 71% of Democrats approve of how he’s handling his job vs. 31% of Independents and only 4% of Republicans. The percentages are consistent with polls in September and February, although he has lost some Democratic support.

Gender — His approval rating among men is 35%; among women, 39%. These figures, too, are consistent with September.

Race — He has lost support among African Americans since September. His approval rating among blacks is 75%; whites, 24%. Last September, 83% of African Americans approved of his work.

Age — His approval rating is highest among 31-40 year-olds at 41%; lowest among 51-65 year-olds at 33%.

Explanation: Nationally, President Obama’s poll numbers are sinking, primarily credited to — or blamed on — the stumbling Affordable Health Care rollout. His approval numbers among North Carolina registered voters are in line with the national numbers.

While the president doesn’t have to worry about re-election, he does want to keep his party strong in this state in particular. The loss of Democratic support and African American support put to lie the idea that those groups will follow him anywhere. They are beset by the same economic and health care problems as everyone else. That should alarm him. And Democratic candidates across the state.

– John Robinson

Congress remains unloved

By now, Congress should have a “Rodney Dangerfield complex.”

In North Carolina, its approval rating is 14 percent. And that’s the nice way of saying it as opposed to “75 percent of North Carolinians polled said they disapproved of the job Congress is doing.”

But there is good news in the latest Elon University Poll results. In our February poll, 82 percent of the people polled disapproved of Congress.

In this poll, Republicans like Congress a little better than Democrats, but not by much (19 percent to 14 percent). People 40 and younger like Congress more than people 41 and older.

The rising fortunes of Congress, however moderate, could well be tied to the falling approval rating for President Obama. Otherwise, it’s unclear exactly why Congress has gained in favor. Gridlock is still the way of Washington, and sequestration is becoming more of a problem for Americans outside of D.C.

– John Robinson

Wednesday’s trending topics

The young adult vote — Harvard University surveyed 18-29 year-olds and 43% said they plan to vote for President Obama and 26% said they will vote for Mitt Romney. This is not the same but in February, the Elon University Poll showed that in the 18-34 age group, 48 percent of North Carolinians approve of how Obama is handling the presidency and 38 percent disapprove.

Past, present and possibly future first ladiesMichelle Obama and Ann Romney outscore their husbands in personal popularity in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, while Hillary Clinton, for her part, has hit a new high in favorability data stretching back to her entry on the national stage 20 years ago.

Marriage Amendment — Opinions of likely voters are shifting on the same-sex marriage ban amendment to the N.C. Constitution. PPP reports that 54% of likely voters say they support the amendment, which is down from its earlier polls. The Elon Poll earlier this month showed that 61% of North Carolinians say they oppose an amendment. The Elon poll surveys North Carolina residents, not just likely voters.

– John Robinson

Washington Post/ABC News poll reflects the sentiments of North Carolinians

The Washington Post/ABC News poll released today shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney on women’s issues, international affairs, middle class protection and health care. Obama also is seen as more likable, and he has a huge advantage with female voters.

The national poll results reflect trends the Elon University Poll saw in its two most recent surveys.

Likability.

Female voters.

Foreign affairs.

And, the Washington Post/ABC News poll results suggest that on the most important issue to Americans — the economy — the GOP has some opportunities because Obama’s support there is weak. Our poll of North Carolina residents indicated the same thing.

Bear in mind, the general election is seven months away — an eternity in politics.

– John Robinson

Monday’s trending topics

Race — A Newsweek/Daily Beast poll found that 72% of whites and 89% of African Americans believe the country is divided by race, but only 19% of whites say that racism is a big problem vs. 60 % of blacks.

Presidential politicsIndependents like President Barack Obama better but feel ideologically closer to Mitt Romney, according to a new poll of a dozen battleground states released Monday. (North Carolina is included in the poll.)

More presidential politicsPresident Barack Obama’s job approval rating averaged 46% in March, up from 45% in January and February, and significantly improved over his term-low 41% monthly averages recorded last summer and fall.

Economy and presidential politics — Voters overwhelmingly trust their own judgment on economic matters more than the judgment of either President Obama or Mitt Romney.

North Carolina: Keeping its options open

Two and a half weeks ago, the Elon University Poll asked North Carolinians, “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?”

Forty-eight disapproved and 45% approved.

Last week, PPP asked North Carolinians,”Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?”

Forty-nine percent disapproved and 49% approved.

Not much change. With the margins of error, it’s pretty much deadlocked.

Here is a comparison of the Elon Poll and PPP on the people’s evaluation of the Republican presidential contenders

Romney is viewed favorably by 34% in Elon’s poll, 31% in PPP’s.

Santorum is viewed favorably by 32% in Elon’s poll, 36% in PPP’s.

Paul is viewed favorably by 33% in Elon’s poll, 27% in PPP’s.

Gingrich is viewed favorably by 23% in Elon’s poll, 28% in PPP’s.

It’s fair to say that it remains anyone’s race on the GOP’s side in North Carolina.

– John Robinson

How Americans see President Obama this week

Last week’s Washington Post-ABC News poll asked the exact same questions about President Obama that the Elon University Poll asked North Carolina residents at the end of February.

The Post: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? 50% disapprove; 46% approve.

 Elon: Same question.  48% disapprove; 45% approve.

The Post: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling the economy? 59% disapprove; 38% approve.

Elon: Same question. 51% disapprove; 43% approve.

The differences in the two polls: The Post’s was conducted nationally and done 10 days later than Elon’s. The margin of error is basically the same, 4%. And nationally, his trendlines are going the wrong way — if you’re an Obama supporter.

The Post: Gas prices are a main culprit: Nearly two-thirds of Americans say they disapprove of the way the president is handling the situation at the pump, where rising prices have already hit hard.

What North Carolinians think of gas prices.