Will Gov. Romney win N.C.?

Despite polls that indicate North Carolina presidential race is deadlocked, many experts are saying N.C. is favoring Gov. Romney. Some experts’ thoughts:

George Mason University’s Michael McDonald: About 47 percent of the 2.7 million early voters are registered Democrats and 31 percent are Republicans. But 50,000 fewer Democrats have voted early than in 2008, McDonald said. In 2008, Obama won the early vote but lost the Election Day vote, narrowly winning the state. McDonald believed the drop in Democratic early voting could mean a loss for the President.

“Almost assuredly, we’re at a point where Obama does not have a lead in North Carolina,” he said.

Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report considers polls from across the nation, including N.C. His partisan voting index lists North Carolina as a plus 4 Republican state.

Nate Silver of the FiveThirtyEight blog at the N.Y. Times gives Gov. Romney a 74.4% chance of winning North Carolina.

— John Robinson

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