The biggest surprise in the May 6 GOP Senate primary will be if Dr. Greg Brannon or the Rev. Mark Harris win. Here’s why:
Most people don’t know who they are.
According to the latest Elon Poll, only 21% of respondents recognized Brannon’s name, and 26% recognized Harris’. Of those who had heard of Brannon, most 56%, didn’t know enough about him to have an opinion on him. That figure was 59% for Harris.
While primaries are routinely and unfortunately low turnout affairs, Brannon and Harris will need to get out most of their supporters to get the need 40% to even set up a runoff with Thom Tillis, who has 63% name recognition and is pouring money into television ads.
— John Robinson