We released a poll yesterday. Here are the headlines pertaining to the N.C. Senate race:
* Among likely voters, it’s close: Hagan, 44.7% – Tillis, 40.7%.
* Among registered voters, it’s wider: Hagan, 44.8% — Tillis, 37.5%.
* Among all residents, it’s wider still: Hagan, 43.5%; Tillis, 35.5%.
* The likely voter results mirror our September results when Hagan had a 4.1- point lead.
* 52% of women said they plan to vote for Hagan vs. 34% for Tillis.
* 48% of men said they plan to vote for Tillis vs. 38% for Hagan.
* 80% of single women said they are likely to vote for Hagan.
* These percentages on gender voting preference are nearly unchanged from our September poll.
* If you voted for Obama in 2012, you’re likely a Hagan supporter (87%).
* If you voted for Romney in 2012, you’re likely a Tillis suppoprter (81%).
* Despite the millions of dollars spend on campaign ads not many people have moved.
* Among likely voters, 12.9% say they “don’t know” or will vote for “someone else.”
* Among residents, 19.6% say they “don’t know” or will vote for “someone else.”
* Of the likely voters who said they were undecided, most were moderates.
* Of the likely voters who said they were undecided, twice as many were Dems.
* Bad news for Libertarian Sean Haugh. Only 6 likely voters mentioned him. (6 voters, not 6%)
* No GOP likely voter mentioned Libertarian Sean Haugh. Possibly bad news for Hagan.