Tag Archives: Barack Obama

The GOP sees an opening on foreign policy

Yesterday, I mentioned that Mitt Romney sees opportunities to challenge President Obama on foreign policy. With good reason, according to an article earlier this month in the Washington Post.

The erosion in Afghanistan, coupled with the prospect of a nuclear Iran, create the possibility that the November election could swing on something no one expected: foreign policy.

“Could” is the operative term, however. An analysis of exit polling conducted in the Republican presidential contests held to date suggests that the economy is by far the issue on most voters’ minds.

It’s not just Romney who sees the possibility of grabbing the foreign policy mantle. Rick Santorum does, too.

The Post article points out that if the economy continues to recover, then that will be a tougher issue to get traction on. Republicans may turn to another issue on which to attack the president’s leadership. Foreign policy — Afghanistan, a nuclear Iran and Russia — may just be it.

— John Robinson

Domestic policy: A lack of confidence

Are North Carolinians confident that any of the men running for president can handle the country’s domestic affairs well?

No, not so much.

President Obama gets the highest marks — 38% — but that’s hardly anything to write home about. Here’s how it breaks down:

                                                     Confident                    Little confidence

Barack Obama                            38%                                     44%

Newt Gingrich                            30%                                     50%

Rick Santorum                            29%                                     44%

Mitt Romney                                28%                                     38%

Ron Paul                                        24%                                      45%

Obama is paying for the condition of the economy. With high-and-still-rising gas prices, people are worried. The president has been “in charge” for three years and people are expecting things to be better. Consequently, Obama must be accountable for that. But the GOP contenders aren’t tracking any better. They haven’t been able to explain to North Carolinians in clear, understandable terms how they would turn things around. 

Opportunities abound for the GOP if they can come to North Carolina and spell out an economic policy that resonates with citizens.

(Much of what I wrote in the post about foreign policy immediately below this one applies here, too.)

— John Robinson

Foreign policy: A lack of confidence

North Carolina residents express lukewarm confidence at best in the candidates running for the White House this fall, according to the latest Elon University Poll, though incumbent President Barack Obama receives higher marks for handling both domestic and foreign policy issues than his Republican rivals.

Ain’t that the truth!

While Obama inspires more confidence in his ability to handle foreign policy issues, those who say they have little or no confidence in him is about the same — 42% express confidence vs. 43% that don’t. A statistical tie.

It’s much worse with the GOP contenders.

                                           Confident                     Little confidence

Newt Gingrich                   28%                                 51%

Mitt Romney                      24%                                  41%

Rick Santorum                   22%                                  50%

Ron Paul                               18%                                   55%

By far, Romney has the most people who rate him smack in the middle between “not confident” and “great deal of confidence.” Twenty-nine percent of the respondents said basically that when it comes to handling foreign policy, Romney will do OK.

Obama is polling better for three reasons:

1. He has a foreign policy track record. Bin Laden and other terrorists have been killed during his administration. He spoke out during the Arab Spring. And he grabs the headlines when he talks about Iran, Afghanistan and the Middle East. People may not like the positions he takes, but they see how he handles things. Only 2% of the respondents said they didn’t know. (The poll was in the field during the news coverage of Obama’s comment to Russian President Dmitry Medvedev about greater “flexibility” on negotiations regarding missile defense after the election.)

2. On the Republican side, people’s political loyalties are dispersed among the four candidates. Once a nominee is selected, the confidence factor will consolidate. And, as ABC reports, Romney sees opportunity to challenge the president.

3. Obama has visited North Carolina almost as often as a tractor-trailer making the weekly Florida to New York run on I95. Republicans have been busy campaigning elsewhere. North Carolinians want to see and hear candidates in person…or at least read that the candidate has come to their part of the state. 

— John Robinson