Tag Archives: Charlie Cook

News of polling and politics, Saturday version

Gallup: “Forty-four percent of all Americans say Barack Obama has been attacking Mitt Romney unfairly in the course of the campaign, and nearly as many — 40% — say Romney has been attacking Obama unfairly.” I would have thought the numbers would be higher, but then North Carolina is a battleground state and has been immersed in negative advertising from both sides.

Associated Press — Nearly a quarter of registered voters are on the fence in the presidential race … and only 29 percent of those have a strong interest in the campaign. “Who are they? These so-called persuadable voters are more often men than women. They are a bit younger than those who’ve made up their minds. They have less education and income. And they are far less partisan.” The other question, of course, is whether they will actually turn out to vote.

Associated Press — “Most Americans say go ahead and raise taxes if it will save Social Security benefits for future generations. And raise the retirement age, if necessary. Both options are preferable to cutting monthly benefits, even for people who are years away from applying for them.” The AP poll showed that 53 percent of adults would rather raise taxes than cut benefits for future generations.

Meanwhile….

Charlie Cook, who will be one of our political experts at the Democratic National Convention, gives four reasons why Gov. Romney may lose. Essentially, he posits that Romney isn’t a natural candidates, his ads have been less than effective, he hasn’t pursued Latino voters and his campaign focus has veered away from the sluggish economy.

 

Elon Poll at the Democratic National Convention

With the presidential race picking up intensity with each passing day, the Elon University Poll is breaking with its long-standing tradition of surveying North Carolina residents. This week, we will poll likely voters in North Carolina with the results scheduled to be released on Sept. 3.

Labor Day is historically the unofficial kick off of the campaign season, although in reality the two presidential candidates have been running for months. The Elon University Institute for Politics and Public Affairs, in partnership with the Charlotte Observer and the News & Observer, is purposely timing the poll to coincide with the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte. 

The results will be released at the Charlotte Observer at a 10:30 a.m. Monday news conference, followed immediately by a panel discussion examining the presidential campaign. On the panel are Charlie Cook, editor of Cook Political Report & National Journal columnist; Domenico Montanaro, NBC News deputy political editor; Anita Kumar, White House correspondent for McClatchy Newspapers; Rob Christensen, chief political writer for the News and Observer of Raleigh; and Taylor Batten, editorial page editor for the Charlotte Observer.

If you’re in Charlotte for the convention, please join us. We expect to get a look from the poll at how North Carolina voters are thinking and insight from the panel into state and presidential politics.

— John Robinson